In laying out his dark vision of a US failure, Bush never discusses Iran's domination of Iraq, even though this is a far more likely consequence of US defeat than an al-Qaeda victory. Bush's reticence is understandable, since it was his miscalculations and incompetent management of the postwar occupation that gave Iran its opportunity. While opposing talks with Iran, the neo-conservatives also prefer not to discuss its current powerful influence over Iraq's central government and southern region, persisting in the fantasy - notwithstanding all evidence to the contrary - that Iran is deeply unpopular among Iraq's Shi'ites and clerics. (At the same time, US officials accuse Iran of supplying Iraqi Shi'ite militias with particularly lethal roadside bombs.)
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